I was wrong on three seats. But check out the percentages. I predicted within 5% 14 out of 22, and all within 11%! I was very close on most!
Obama, Thompson and Chesbro. Easily.
Humboldt County Supervisor 2nd District
Clif Clendenen-No Party 37% Actual 40%
Estelle Fennell-Democrat 33% Actual 28%
Johanna Rodoni-Republican 30% Actual 32%
I was pretty close percentage wise. Johanna’s campaign did a great job of educating voters, but that write in thing is tough. Thank goodness no more “Pick Clif” ads!
Eureka City Council 2nd Ward-
Polly Endert-Republican 53% Actual 47%
Linda Atkins-Democrat 47% Actual 53%
The KEET forum seemed to be the turning point for the Atkins campaign. And I have never witnessed such a miss use of money in a campaign than in Endert’s case. (Too many mailers and newspaper ads.)
Frank Jager-Republican 55% Actual 63%
George Clark-Democrat 45% Actual 37%
Tough one to run against. Frank is just a really good guy. Clark pretty much had no chance. A landslide in predominately Democrat area. Obviously I was wrong on that partisan thingy.
Arcata City Council (Three seats available)
Michael Winkler-Democrat 38% Actual 29%
Shane Brinton-Democrat 31% Actual 20%
Michael Machi-No Party 28% Actual 17%
Susan Ornelas-Republican 25% Actual 20%
Jason Grow-No Party 9% Actual 9%
Geronimo Garcia-Green Party 5% Actual 5%
Hey! Why didn’t anybody point out I screwed up the math on my prediction! Oh well, I was right on with Jason and Geronimo. Machi lost. Didn’t see that coming.
Humboldt Bay Municipal Water
Kaitlin Sopoci-Belknap-Green 58% Actual 62%
Stephen Davies-Democrat 42% Actual 38%
No surprise here.
Ben Shepherd-Republican 35% Actual 30%
Edward “Buzz” Webb-Democrat 25% Actual 28%
Tera Prucha-Democrat 25% Actual 35%
Jake Pickering-Democrat 8% Actual 3%
Adrienne Floreen-No Party 7% Actual 4%
Nice surprise here. I thought Tera was the best choice. The Democrats in this race took 66% of the vote. This is becoming a very liberal area.
Barbara Hecathorn-Republican 65% Actual 62%
Robert Shultz-Democrat 35% Actual 38%
Bob didn’t have much of a campaign. Barbara did. It showed in the numbers.
The HCDCC endorsed candidates went 6-3 and are 21-3 the last few elections.
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